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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is a great country's determination to adapt to changes, and it is China's wisdom to open a new situation in changes. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China has always grasped the general trend of the world from a long historical period, maintained continuity and stability in its policy toward the United States, and it is the determination of a big country to respond to changes with constancy, and it is China's wisdom to create a new situation in a changing situation. Xie Feng pointed out that the goal of China's commitment to the stable, healthy and sustainable development of Sino-US relations has not changed, which is in line with the common interests of the two countries and the general expectations of the international community; The principle of handling Sino-US relations in accordance with mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation has not changed, which is the fundamental way for China and the United States to get along correctly in the new era. The position of firmly safeguarding its sovereignty, security and development interests has not changed. This is a principle that China must defend and a red line that cannot be challenged. The desire to continue the traditional friendship between the Chinese and American people has not changed, and we are willing to continue to pave the way for cultural exchanges between the two countries. Xie Feng hopes that the US will move in the same direction as China, strengthen dialogue and communication, and refrain from shouting from a distance; Properly control differences and not engage in conflict and confrontation; Expand mutually beneficial cooperation and do not engage in decoupling and chain breaking; Carry out benign interaction, do not engage in zero-sum game, and strive to achieve a smooth transition and a good start in Sino-US relations.

The balance of A-share financing reached a new high of more than 9 years. According to Wind data, as of December 11th, the balance of A-share market financing reached 1,875.85 billion yuan, a new high of more than 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (china securities journal)According to the medical report, Brazilian President Lula removed the drainage tube from his head at night and is still in the intensive care unit. Lula is still conscious and speaks normally.From the United States to the week of December 5, foreign central banks held US Treasury bonds of-203 million US dollars, with the previous value of-6.157 billion US dollars.

JPMorgan Chase elected Michele Buck as a member of the board of directors.Google successfully attacked OpenAI：ChatGPT Vision was launched in the middle of the night. Yesterday, after Google enlarged its recruitment to release Gemini 2 and provided free services, OpenAI followed closely today (12-day conference Day6) and launched the long-awaited ChatGPT Vision function, bringing users a richer multi-modal interactive experience. In addition to the original advanced voice mode, you can now make video calls with ChatGPT, share the screen, and interact with Santa Claus in real time. The entire conference lasted for 11 minutes.Many places support housing consumption in the form of issuing housing subsidies. Recently, many places have taken the form of issuing housing subsidies and optimizing housing provident fund policies to support housing consumption and release housing demand. For example, recently, the General Office of the Government of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued "Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Guangxi", which mentioned that "optimizing the housing provident fund policy" and "financial subsidies support the reasonable demand for housing purchase". Shanxi Datong, Hubei Xiangyang, Hubei Xianning and other places have also recently launched relevant measures to support residents' rigid and improved housing demand and boost the real estate market. Zhang Bo, dean of 58 Anjuke Research Institute, said in an interview that the role of promoting housing consumption in "stabilizing the property market" is expected to continue to increase, and more policies will be introduced in the future to help stabilize the property market. (Securities Daily)